The End of the War is Near

“Lebanon Debate”

Observers are closely monitoring the escalation on the southern front, and its major repercussions on the future of the region, all of which are occurring amid the start of the American presidential race, and Israeli internal political conflicts.

The question raises itself: Will the escalation that we are witnessing today lead to a full-scale war? One that Israel has been threatening of launching since the beginning of the Al-Aqsa flood until today?

In this context, political analyst and author, Ibrahim Bayram noted that Israel's assassination of resistance leaders, followed by Hezbollah's response, are not unprecedented.

Attempts of broadening the conflict's scope have already been launched, notably with the attack on the Nuseirat camp, resulting in 500 casualties (dead and wounded) along with violent raids on the Lebanese-Syrian borders, including the murder of a Hezbollah leader.

During an interview with “Lebanon Debate”, the analyst explained that it is now evident that Israel has chosen not to opt for an open war while disregarding the rules of engagement. The Israeli army has instead found a middle ground between these two options: escalating both in the air and on the ground, thereby signaling their next move.

He also pointed out that the Israeli government is aware of the pressure it faces from the US concerning the situation in Gaza. Moreover, Israel acknowledges that eight months have passed without achieving its goals, making it unlikely to achieve them in the future. Consequently, Israel seeks to assert itself as the Game master, the dominant force, hence the escalation.

The author also revealed that the Israeli side considers the war is far from over. Given the impossibility of opting for a large-scale war, the enemy has decided to escalate the conflict on a larger scale than what has been witnessed over the past eight months.

From this context, it can be said that more waves of violence will be witnessed in Gaza and Lebanon.

He also added that what is currently happening is the alternative of an open full-scale war, highlighting that it often precedes the end of any war.

The current situation can not bear any more surprises, neither for Israel nor for the resistance, which seeks to end the war at any cost. The biggest proof to this claim is that both Hamas and the Islamic Jihad have agreed to the Egyptian-Qatari initiative and the American proposal.

It is clear, according to Bayram, that the axis is interested in a ceasefire despite significant casualties among civilians and the extensive destruction in the Gaza Strip. This interest persists because the resistance is still standing, and as long as the prisoners have not been returned as desired by the Israelis, and as long as Hamas remains in Gaza and Hezbollah in the south, the axis considers all of these factors as a victory.

However, the axis is aware that they cannot bet on winning the battle at once while facing the Israelis, who are superior in terms of armaments.

مرحلة الحرب أصبحت في أواخرها... الإسرائيلي يتموضع بين خيارين!