Buffer Zone by Fire, but to no Avail

“Lebanon Debate”

It's undeniable that the possibility of an Israeli war on the Lebanese front is as probable as the chance of achieving a settlement and peace. This is showcased with the ongoing diplomatic efforts through the move of the US envoy, Amos Hochstein, coinciding with the ground preparations.

On the contrary, the local political approach does not hint at the possibility of an all-out war, despite the looming danger in the South. This approach appears disconnected from the anticipated threats and repercussions of any Israeli aggression at both political and military levels.
Regarding the facts on the ground, the Israeli forces are visibly stationed along the borders. Hezbollah is directly targeting those crowds, as reported by a concerned parliamentary source. As the crucial moment draws nearer, he stated that an Israeli military operation remains a possibility at any given moment.

In response to a question regarding serious indicators forecasting a potential escalation into a broader conflict at any moment, the parliamentary source pointed out to "Lebanon Debate" that the Israeli military buildup along the border and the Resistance's preparations against them are escalation indicators.

However, the source emphasized that the most influential indicators are political. He disclosed that foreign communications and delegate movements underscore the gravity of the situation. For instance, during a recent visit to Beirut, US mediator Amos Hochstein conveyed a plan for field arrangements aimed at fostering calm on the southern front. Unfortunately, his mission proved to be unsuccessful.

Based on the abovementioned, diplomatic data and external warnings have never stopped since October 8th. The latest of which, but not the last, are alerts from Germany to Beirut, all of which address "catastrophic" scenarios in the event of an expanded conflict on the brink of war on the southern front.

Nevertheless, in this context, the parliamentary source confirms that US efforts to prevent escalation will persist if it breaks out. These efforts aim to confine any conflict to a specific time and place. It will focus on establishing a buffer zone, as a fait accompli, on the border through military means rather than diplomacy. Nonetheless, this approach may not align with Israel's objective of achieving a security settlement on its northern border.

المنطقة العازلة "بالنار"... ولكن من دون جدوى